BoE Holds Policy Unchanged in Gov Carney's First Meeting


In its July meeting, the Bank of England’s MPC voted to maintain the official Bank Rate paid on commercial bank reserves at 0.5% and the stock of asset purchases financed by the issuance of central bank reserves at £375 billion. Yet, in spite of some signs of economic recovery, the new governor signaled that the Bank will keep interest rates at a record low for longer than investors had expected.

Excerpt from the statement by the Monetary Policy Committee:

Since the May Inflation Report, market interest rates have risen sharply internationally and asset prices have been volatile.  In the United Kingdom, there have been further signs that a recovery is in train, although it remains weak by historical standards and a degree of slack is expected to persist for some time.  Twelve-month CPI inflation rose to 2.7% in May and is set to rise further in the near term.  Further out, inflation should fall back towards the 2% target as external price pressures fade and a revival in productivity growth curbs domestic cost pressures.

The Committee noted that the incoming data over the past couple of months had been broadly consistent with the central outlook for output growth and inflation contained in the May Report. The significant upward movement in market interest rates would, however, weigh on that outlook; in the Committee’s view, the implied rise in the expected future path of Bank Rate was not warranted by the recent developments in the domestic economy.

The previous change in Bank Rate was a reduction of 0.5 percentage points to 0.5% on 5 March 2009.  A programme of asset purchases financed by the issuance of central bank reserves was initiated on 5 March 2009.  The previous change in the size of that programme was an increase of £50 billion to a total of £375 billion on 5 July 2012. 

The Bank will continue to offer to purchase high-quality private sector assets on behalf of the Treasury, financed by the issue of Treasury bills, in line with the arrangements announced on 29 January 2009 and 29 November 2011.

BoE | Nuno Fontes | nuno@tradingeconomics.com
7/4/2013 2:22:11 PM