Nikkei Volatility Index - Forecast

Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index is expected to trade around 14 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade around 5 in 12 months time.


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Major Price Day Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19
Dow Jones 25,109 46.57 0.19% 23,360 22,572 21,813 21,078
S&P 500 2,810 11.39 0.41% 2,629 2,547 2,467 2,390
NASDAQ 100 7,396 38.25 0.52% 6,733 6,462 6,202 5,953
NASDAQ 7,857 51.30 0.66% 7,230 6,968 6,715 6,471
S&P MidCap 400 1,994 9.02 0.45% 1,897 1,839 1,783 1,729
US 600 1,047 5.58 0.54% 994 960 927 895
Russell 2000 1,688 9.08 0.54% 1,605 1,551 1,499 1,448
S&P VIX 12.00 0.83 -0.83% 10.02 6.23 3.87 2.40
US 100 10,345 36.04 0.35% 9,742 9,448 9,164 8,888
NIKKEI 225 22,697 100.01 0.44% 20,905 20,123 19,369 18,646
FTSE 100 7,658 58.62 0.77% 7,377 7,180 6,989 6,802
FTSE All 4,203 17.53 0.42% 4,067 3,965 3,866 3,769
DAX 12,714 153.97 1.23% 11,927 11,528 11,143 10,770
CAC 40 5,439 30.45 0.56% 5,173 5,027 4,885 4,746
FTSE MIB 21,978 154.87 0.71% 20,932 20,151 19,399 18,675
IBEX 35 9,744 31.85 0.33% 9,384 9,069 8,764 8,470
Australian All 6,288 38.30 -0.61% 6,140 6,010 5,882 5,756
ASX 200 6,204 37.90 -0.61% 6,047 5,913 5,783 5,655
ASX 50 6,057 35.60 -0.58% 5,906 5,775 5,647 5,522
SHANGHAI 2,799 15.29 -0.54% 2,664 2,571 2,481 2,394
CSI 300 3,450 43.53 -1.25% 3,234 3,108 2,986 2,870
SHANGHAI 50 2,431 17.40 -0.71% 2,270 2,175 2,083 1,995
SENSEX 36,518 194.66 0.54% 34,656 33,774 32,917 32,081
MICEX 2,311 23.26 -1.00% 2,213 2,125 2,041 1,960
TSX 16,517 22.16 0.13% 15,951 15,645 15,344 15,050
KOSPI 2,298 4.07 -0.18% 2,196 2,128 2,063 2,000
iBovespa 78,217 1,564.70 2.04% 70,250 66,993 63,885 60,916
IPC Mexico 48,454 242.09 -0.50% 45,793 44,565 43,370 42,207
AEX 562 3.49 0.63% 535 520 506 493
SMI 8,824 23.50 -0.27% 8,397 8,147 7,905 7,671
JALSH-All Share 56,113 671.02 1.21% 55,487 53,639 51,854 50,126
FTSE/JSE TOP 40 49,996 656.71 1.33% 49,346 47,581 45,876 44,234
STI 3,240 6.85 0.21% 3,156 3,069 2,985 2,903
Hang Seng 28,182 357.98 -1.25% 27,078 25,963 24,892 23,867
PSI Geral 3,296 13.36 0.41% 3,138 3,057 2,978 2,901
NZX 50 8,979 5.73 -0.06% 8,841 8,659 8,482 8,308
Euronext 100 1,065 1.90 0.18% 1,016 989 963 937
Euro Stoxx 50 3,468 20.23 0.59% 3,313 3,216 3,123 3,033
NIFTY 50 10,983 45.90 0.42% 10,469 10,199 9,936 9,679

America Price Day Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19
Dow Jones 25,109 46.57 0.19% 23,360 22,572 21,813 21,078
S&P 500 2,810 11.39 0.41% 2,629 2,547 2,467 2,390
NASDAQ 100 7,396 38.25 0.52% 6,733 6,462 6,202 5,953
NASDAQ 7,857 51.30 0.66% 7,230 6,968 6,715 6,471
S&P MidCap 400 1,994 9.02 0.45% 1,897 1,839 1,783 1,729
US 600 1,047 5.58 0.54% 994 960 927 895
Russell 2000 1,688 9.08 0.54% 1,605 1,551 1,499 1,448
S&P VIX 12.00 0.83 -0.83% 10.02 6.23 3.87 2.40
US 100 10,345 36.04 0.35% 9,742 9,448 9,164 8,888
Ecuador General Index 1,326 4.38 0.33% 1,308 1,285 1,262 1,240
TSX 16,517 22.16 0.13% 15,951 15,645 15,344 15,050
iBovespa 78,217 1,564.70 2.04% 70,250 66,993 63,885 60,916
IPC Mexico 48,454 242.09 -0.50% 45,793 44,565 43,370 42,207
S&P/BVL Peru General Index TR (PEN) 19,727 21.77 -0.11% 19,159 18,649 18,153 17,671
Merval 26,839 441.26 -1.65% 25,003 23,074 21,297 19,655
IBC 108,102 3,705.27 3.55% 76,575 56,163 41,190 30,206
COLCAP 1,553 1.74 0.11% 1,521 1,482 1,444 1,406
IGPA 27,090 240.78 0.90% 25,730 24,846 23,990 23,164
BVPSI 483 0.59 -0.12% 475 468 462 456
BSX 2,681 1.99 0.07% 2,503 2,362 2,229 2,104
JSE 316,352 861.91 0.27% 297,187 281,864 267,324 253,505

Europe Price Day Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19
FTSE 100 7,658 58.62 0.77% 7,377 7,180 6,989 6,802
FTSE All 4,203 17.53 0.42% 4,067 3,965 3,866 3,769
DAX 12,714 153.97 1.23% 11,927 11,528 11,143 10,770
CAC 40 5,439 30.45 0.56% 5,173 5,027 4,885 4,746
FTSE MIB 21,978 154.87 0.71% 20,932 20,151 19,399 18,675
IBEX 35 9,744 31.85 0.33% 9,384 9,069 8,764 8,470
MICEX 2,311 23.26 -1.00% 2,213 2,125 2,041 1,960
AEX 562 3.49 0.63% 535 520 506 493
BIST 100 91,630 1,885.54 2.10% 92,528 88,209 84,084 80,162
SMI 8,824 23.50 -0.27% 8,397 8,147 7,905 7,671
OMXS 30 1,557 3.86 0.25% 1,480 1,432 1,385 1,340
WIG 56,483 277.67 0.49% 54,782 53,033 51,341 49,706
WIG 20 2,153 19.23 0.90% 2,082 1,998 1,918 1,842
Euronext BEL 20 3,818 10.97 0.29% 3,619 3,525 3,433 3,344
Oslo Bors All-Share 989 0.07 0.01% 974 946 918 891
ATX 3,283 8.57 -0.26% 3,127 3,017 2,911 2,808
OMX Copenhagen 1,006 9.54 0.96% 937 907 877 849
OMX Helsinki 10,176 121.42 1.21% 9,631 9,354 9,085 8,823
OMX Helsinki 25 4,279 69.14 1.64% 4,024 3,901 3,782 3,667
ISEQ 7,029 28.39 -0.40% 6,765 6,570 6,382 6,198
Athens General 765 0.36 -0.05% 717 685 654 625
PSI Geral 3,296 13.36 0.41% 3,138 3,057 2,978 2,901
PSI 20 5,638 17.52 0.31% 5,331 5,178 5,029 4,885
PX 1,081 6.85 -0.63% 1,050 1,027 1,004 982
BET 8,005 21.07 0.26% 7,769 7,541 7,320 7,104
BUX 34,751 515.94 -1.46% 34,923 33,507 32,153 30,850
PFTS 498 1.30 0.26% 425 397 371 347
SAX 342 0.00 0.00% 315 303 291 279
LuxX 1,625 7.27 -0.45% 1,520 1,457 1,397 1,339
CROBEX 1,792 11.33 -0.63% 1,760 1,724 1,688 1,653
SOFIX 624 0.62 0.10% 614 600 586 573
SBITOP 889 0.91 -0.10% 855 834 813 793
OMX Vilnius 716 0.15 0.02% 688 668 649 631
BELEX 15 735 2.13 0.29% 721 707 694 680
SASX-10 634 6.48 1.03% 587 567 548 529
MSE 4,363 10.79 -0.25% 4,320 4,239 4,160 4,082
CSE General 74 0.05 -0.07% 74 71 69 67
ICEX 1,268 5.73 -0.45% 1,283 1,244 1,207 1,171
MBI 10 3,303 38.94 -1.17% 3,285 3,184 3,085 2,989
Euronext 100 1,065 1.90 0.18% 1,016 989 963 937
OMX Tallinn 1,267 7.58 0.60% 1,233 1,205 1,177 1,150
OMX Riga 1,033 9.76 0.95% 995 952 911 872
Euro Stoxx 50 3,468 20.23 0.59% 3,313 3,216 3,123 3,033
MONEX INDEX 10,218.36 5.74 0.06% 9,640.74 9,359.73 9,087.65 8,823.52

Asia Price Day Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19
NIKKEI 225 22,697 100.01 0.44% 20,905 20,123 19,369 18,646
SHANGHAI 2,799 15.29 -0.54% 2,664 2,571 2,481 2,394
CSI 300 3,450 43.53 -1.25% 3,234 3,108 2,986 2,870
SHANGHAI 50 2,431 17.40 -0.71% 2,270 2,175 2,083 1,995
SENSEX 36,518 194.66 0.54% 34,656 33,774 32,917 32,081
KOSPI 2,298 4.07 -0.18% 2,196 2,128 2,063 2,000
DSE Broad 5,325 14.43 -0.27% 5,167 5,028 4,893 4,762
JCI 5,862 43.65 -0.74% 5,550 5,372 5,200 5,034
TASI 8,463 27.98 -0.33% 7,997 7,786 7,579 7,378
TAIEX 10,779 38.46 -0.36% 10,403 10,095 9,794 9,504
ADX General 4,739 8.50 -0.18% 4,471 4,355 4,241 4,131
SET 50 1,068 0.95 -0.09% 1,045 1,017 990 964
FKLCI 1,737 10.61 0.61% 1,650 1,612 1,575 1,540
STI 3,240 6.85 0.21% 3,156 3,069 2,985 2,903
TA-100 1,383 0.31 0.02% 1,336 1,303 1,271 1,239
Hang Seng 28,182 357.98 -1.25% 27,078 25,963 24,892 23,867
PSEi 7,382 12.24 0.17% 7,072 6,806 6,550 6,304
KSE 100 39,933 267.21 0.67% 38,635 37,048 35,525 34,066
KASE 2,401 0.88 0.04% 2,316 2,243 2,172 2,103
QE 9,410 30.00 -0.32% 8,820 8,455 8,105 7,770
HNX 105 1.71 1.66% 95 90 85 80
VN 921 10.16 1.12% 868 822 780 739
Kuwait Price 6,633 0.00 0.00% 6,477 6,324 6,175 6,029
SECTMIND 416 0.00 0.00% 406 396 386 377
MSM TOP 30 4,443 5.58 -0.13% 4,414 4,308 4,205 4,104
ASPI 6,182 46.38 0.76% 5,964 5,884 5,804 5,726
Blom 1,040 1.87 0.18% 1,020 1,001 982 964
ASE 2,028 8.47 -0.42% 2,026 1,995 1,965 1,935
MSE TOP 20 19,596 200.50 -1.01% 18,153 17,008 15,935 14,929
LSX Composite 899 1.27 -0.14% 850 811 774 738
DFM general 2,913 6.32 -0.22% 2,774 2,695 2,618 2,544
All-Share Index 5,207.84 31.11 -0.59% 4,975.19 4,891.70 4,809.21 4,728.76
NIFTY 50 10,983 45.90 0.42% 10,469 10,199 9,936 9,679
Nikkei Volatility Index 16.39 0.20 1.24% 14.36 10.31 7.41 5.32
Estirad 1,368.82 16.95 1.25% 1,298.09 1,275.50 1,253.31 1,231.51

Australia Price Day Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19
Australian All 6,288 38.30 -0.61% 6,140 6,010 5,882 5,756
ASX 200 6,204 37.90 -0.61% 6,047 5,913 5,783 5,655
ASX 50 6,057 35.60 -0.58% 5,906 5,775 5,647 5,522
NZX 50 8,979 5.73 -0.06% 8,841 8,659 8,482 8,308

Africa Price Day Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19
NSE-All Share 36,964 125.91 -0.34% 36,140 34,729 33,376 32,074
JALSH-All Share 56,113 671.02 1.21% 55,487 53,639 51,854 50,126
FTSE/JSE TOP 40 49,996 656.71 1.33% 49,346 47,581 45,876 44,234
Egypt EGX 30 15,421 235.17 -1.50% 15,776 15,203 14,652 14,120
Casablanca CFG 25 11,401 85.10 -0.74% 11,438 11,201 10,970 10,742
Nairobi 20 3,327 24.61 0.75% 3,194 3,109 3,027 2,946
NSE All Share 171 0.80 -0.47% 164 159 153 148
DSEI 2,288 5.24 -0.23% 1,974 1,718 1,495 1,302
TUN 8,066 16.08 0.20% 7,934 7,801 7,671 7,543
GGSECI 2,869 0.18 -0.01% 2,798 2,718 2,641 2,566
SEMDEX 2,225 1.02 0.05% 2,207 2,183 2,159 2,135
Gaborone 8,382 10.97 -0.13% 8,349 8,296 8,244 8,192
NSX Overall 1,268 23.26 1.87% 1,228 1,171 1,117 1,065
Zimbabwe Industrial Index 359.64 2.42 0.68% 313.80 284.56 258.01 234.00

TRADING ECONOMICS forecasts are based on its analysts expectations and proprietary global macro models. We work hard to make sure any information we present is accurate and reliable. However, our forecasts are not recommendations to buy or sell nor we are a registered investment adviser. Moreover, the past performance of our models is not necessarily indicative of future results.