Nikkei Volatility Index - Forecast

Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index is expected to trade around 29 by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade around 28 in 12 months time.



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Major Price Day Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19
Dow Jones 24,379 23.15 -0.09% 22,667 22,327 21,993 21,662
S&P 500 2,621 11.90 -0.45% 2,438 2,401 2,365 2,330
NASDAQ 100 6,604 42.39 -0.64% 6,112 6,021 5,930 5,841
NASDAQ 7,020 0.00 0.00% 6,494 6,397 6,301 6,206
S&P MidCap 400 1,776 13.34 -0.75% 1,615 1,591 1,567 1,544
US 600 904 5.43 -0.60% 828 815 803 791
Russell 2000 1,447 10.50 -0.72% 1,328 1,308 1,289 1,269
S&P VIX 21.46 0.66 0.66% 27.21 26.80 26.40 26.00
US 100 9,920 54.89 -0.55% 9,326 9,186 9,048 8,912
NIKKEI 225 20,594 29.19 -0.14% 19,699 19,386 19,080 18,780
FTSE 100 6,824 76.84 -1.11% 6,622 6,551 6,482 6,414
FTSE All 3,765 29.33 -0.77% 3,621 3,583 3,545 3,508
DAX 11,029 59.21 -0.53% 10,400 10,265 10,131 9,999
CAC 40 4,828 19.04 -0.39% 4,616 4,562 4,510 4,458
FTSE MIB 19,400 37.12 -0.19% 17,883 17,610 17,343 17,080
IBEX 35 9,101 66.74 0.74% 8,357 8,262 8,168 8,075
Australian All 5,909 3.70 0.06% 5,572 5,520 5,468 5,417
ASX 200 5,844 3.74 -0.06% 5,506 5,454 5,403 5,352
ASX 50 5,749 10.80 -0.19% 5,520 5,468 5,417 5,366
CSI 300 3,141 2.26 -0.07% 2,961 2,913 2,865 2,818
SHANGHAI 2,581 1.30 0.05% 2,425 2,385 2,346 2,307
SHANGHAI 50 2,397 4.18 -0.17% 2,226 2,189 2,153 2,118
SENSEX 36,427 17.29 -0.05% 35,492 35,119 34,750 34,387
MICEX 2,491 22.76 0.92% 2,335 2,302 2,269 2,237
TSX 15,153 81.12 -0.53% 14,103 13,979 13,856 13,735
KOSPI 2,128 10.01 0.47% 1,986 1,962 1,938 1,915
iBovespa 95,753 650.11 0.68% 86,047 84,460 82,908 81,383
IPC Mexico 43,768 260.88 -0.59% 41,106 40,535 39,972 39,413
AEX 507 0.71 0.14% 479 473 468 463
SMI 8,957 9.15 -0.10% 8,330 8,231 8,134 8,038
FTSE/JSE TOP 40 47,742 210.17 -0.44% 44,928 44,281 43,644 43,015
JALSH-All Share 53,915 163.22 -0.30% 50,798 50,067 49,345 48,634
STI 3,172 21.14 -0.66% 3,035 3,001 2,968 2,935
Hang Seng 27,008 2.75 0.01% 24,718 24,314 23,914 23,522
PSI Geral 2,951 2.66 0.09% 2,729 2,701 2,672 2,644
NZX 50 9,106 8.60 -0.09% 8,737 8,664 8,591 8,519
Euronext 100 948 0.23 -0.02% 897 887 877 867
Euro Stoxx 50 3,112 0.67 -0.02% 2,943 2,910 2,877 2,845
NIFTY 50 10,922 0.80 -0.01% 10,651 10,539 10,429 10,319

America Price Day Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19
Dow Jones 24,379 23.15 -0.09% 22,667 22,327 21,993 21,662
S&P 500 2,621 11.90 -0.45% 2,438 2,401 2,365 2,330
NASDAQ 100 6,604 42.39 -0.64% 6,112 6,021 5,930 5,841
NASDAQ 7,020 0.00 0.00% 6,494 6,397 6,301 6,206
S&P MidCap 400 1,776 13.34 -0.75% 1,615 1,591 1,567 1,544
US 600 904 5.43 -0.60% 828 815 803 791
Russell 2000 1,447 10.50 -0.72% 1,328 1,308 1,289 1,269
S&P VIX 21.46 0.66 0.66% 27.21 26.80 26.40 26.00
US 100 9,920 54.89 -0.55% 9,326 9,186 9,048 8,912
Ecuador General Index 1,418 1.82 -0.13% 1,399 1,393 1,387 1,381
TSX 15,153 81.12 -0.53% 14,103 13,979 13,856 13,735
iBovespa 95,753 650.11 0.68% 86,047 84,460 82,908 81,383
IPC Mexico 43,768 260.88 -0.59% 41,106 40,535 39,972 39,413
S&P/BVL Peru General Index TR (PEN) 19,514 66.51 -0.34% 19,137 18,971 18,805 18,643
Merval 34,355 312.39 0.92% 29,320 28,362 27,435 26,537
IBC 5,633 142.51 -2.50% 636 252 100 40
COLCAP 1,400 3.86 -0.27% 1,311 1,297 1,283 1,269
IGPA 27,152 96.68 -0.35% 25,748 25,541 25,333 25,128
BVPSI 438 0.00 0.00% 449 447 444 442
BSX 2,080 6.24 0.30% 1,884 1,831 1,779 1,728
JSE 374,632 416.31 -0.11% 370,475 366,354 362,308 358,262

Europe Price Day Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19
FTSE 100 6,824 76.84 -1.11% 6,622 6,551 6,482 6,414
FTSE All 3,765 29.33 -0.77% 3,621 3,583 3,545 3,508
DAX 11,029 59.21 -0.53% 10,400 10,265 10,131 9,999
CAC 40 4,828 19.04 -0.39% 4,616 4,562 4,510 4,458
FTSE MIB 19,400 37.12 -0.19% 17,883 17,610 17,343 17,080
IBEX 35 9,101 66.74 0.74% 8,357 8,262 8,168 8,075
MICEX 2,491 22.76 0.92% 2,335 2,302 2,269 2,237
AEX 507 0.71 0.14% 479 473 468 463
BIST 100 100,141 463.93 0.47% 88,052 86,456 84,896 83,353
SMI 8,957 9.15 -0.10% 8,330 8,231 8,134 8,038
OMXS 30 1,479 7.61 -0.51% 1,383 1,366 1,349 1,331
WIG 60,789 1,053.97 1.76% 56,799 56,068 55,343 54,629
WIG 20 2,407 47.86 2.03% 2,238 2,210 2,181 2,153
Euronext BEL 20 3,457 8.19 0.24% 3,174 3,139 3,104 3,070
Oslo Bors All-Share 950 5.66 -0.59% 895 883 872 861
ATX 2,936 11.82 -0.40% 2,707 2,670 2,634 2,598
OMX Copenhagen 934 4.44 -0.47% 891 880 869 857
OMX Helsinki 9,444 3.95 0.04% 8,696 8,587 8,480 8,374
OMX Helsinki 25 4,000 11.14 -0.28% 3,679 3,633 3,588 3,542
ISEQ 5,828 11.26 0.19% 5,411 5,347 5,285 5,223
Athens General 631 1.15 0.18% 596 586 576 567
PSI Geral 2,951 2.66 0.09% 2,729 2,701 2,672 2,644
PSI 20 5,086 17.26 0.34% 4,670 4,621 4,572 4,525
PX 1,022 4.67 0.46% 977 969 961 952
BET 7,142 51.72 -0.72% 7,268 7,155 7,043 6,933
BUX 40,819 145.02 -0.35% 38,841 38,253 37,678 37,110
PFTS 555 1.92 -0.34% 546 533 520 508
SAX 332 0.47 0.14% 328 323 318 314
LuxX 1,376 3.06 -0.22% 1,296 1,276 1,255 1,236
CROBEX 1,756 6.00 -0.34% 1,720 1,709 1,698 1,688
SOFIX 563 4.25 -0.75% 584 580 575 571
SBITOP 843 2.55 0.30% 798 792 785 779
OMX Vilnius 643 2.39 -0.37% 611 605 600 594
BELEX 15 699 1.48 -0.21% 756 750 745 739
MSE 4,371 19.97 -0.45% 4,488 4,462 4,436 4,411
CSE General 62 0.97 -1.53% 66 65 64 64
ICEX 1,246 16.95 1.38% 1,202 1,189 1,176 1,164
Euro Stoxx 50 3,112 0.67 -0.02% 2,943 2,910 2,877 2,845
OMX Tallinn 1,222 1.78 -0.15% 1,155 1,147 1,139 1,131
OMX Riga 976 7.88 0.81% 913 898 883 868
SASX-10 630 24.27 -3.71% 620 612 605 598
MBI 10 3,596 2.75 0.08% 3,428 3,388 3,349 3,309
Euronext 100 948 0.23 -0.02% 897 887 877 867
MONEX INDEX 10,648.46 65.20 0.62% 10,732.26 10,633.69 10,536.20 10,438.71

Asia Price Day Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19
NIKKEI 225 20,594 29.19 -0.14% 19,699 19,386 19,080 18,780
SHANGHAI 2,581 1.30 0.05% 2,425 2,385 2,346 2,307
SHANGHAI 50 2,397 4.18 -0.17% 2,226 2,189 2,153 2,118
CSI 300 3,141 2.26 -0.07% 2,961 2,913 2,865 2,818
SENSEX 36,427 17.29 -0.05% 35,492 35,119 34,750 34,387
KOSPI 2,128 10.01 0.47% 1,986 1,962 1,938 1,915
DSE Broad 5,925 59.78 1.02% 5,336 5,287 5,239 5,190
JCI 6,451 17.39 -0.27% 6,098 6,017 5,936 5,857
TASI 8,461 61.24 0.73% 7,698 7,607 7,517 7,428
TAIEX 9,846 48.26 -0.49% 9,429 9,306 9,183 9,063
ADX General 4,971 14.79 0.30% 4,828 4,783 4,738 4,693
SET 50 1,083 8.88 0.83% 1,035 1,023 1,012 1,000
FKLCI 1,688 13.98 -0.82% 1,653 1,638 1,623 1,608
STI 3,172 21.14 -0.66% 3,035 3,001 2,968 2,935
TA-100 1,376 6.33 0.46% 1,319 1,305 1,291 1,277
Hang Seng 27,008 2.75 0.01% 24,718 24,314 23,914 23,522
PSEi 7,990 19.02 -0.24% 7,377 7,266 7,157 7,050
KSE 100 40,058 155.64 0.39% 37,214 36,693 36,180 35,674
KASE 2,274 10.51 -0.46% 2,282 2,259 2,236 2,213
QE 10,593 94.42 -0.88% 10,130 9,997 9,864 9,734
HNX 103 0.13 0.13% 101 99 97 95
VN 908 1.63 0.18% 875 859 843 827
SECTMIND 416 0.00 0.00% 413 411 409 406
Kuwait Price 56 0.18 0.32% 6,595 6,557 6,519 6,481
MSM TOP 30 4,170 12.14 -0.29% 4,295 4,261 4,227 4,194
ASPI 5,952 7.39 0.12% 6,027 5,992 5,957 5,923
Blom 948 0.00 0.00% 971 964 958 952
ASE 1,945 0.78 0.04% 1,906 1,894 1,883 1,872
LSX Composite 815 3.38 0.42% 823 811 798 786
MSE TOP 20 21,464 76.32 -0.35% 21,175 20,887 20,604 20,323
DFM general 2,517 23.08 0.93% 2,497 2,473 2,450 2,427
Nikkei Volatility Index 20.85 0.23 1.12% 28.86 28.40 27.95 27.51
NIFTY 50 10,922 0.80 -0.01% 10,651 10,539 10,429 10,319
All-Share Index 5,236.58 21.33 -0.41% 5,079.98 5,050.35 5,021.22 4,992.10
Estirad 1,361.63 9.16 0.68% 1,322.69 1,315.91 1,309.26 1,302.62

Australia Price Day Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19
ASX 200 5,844 3.74 -0.06% 5,506 5,454 5,403 5,352
ASX 50 5,749 10.80 -0.19% 5,520 5,468 5,417 5,366
Australian All 5,909 3.70 0.06% 5,572 5,520 5,468 5,417
NZX 50 9,106 8.60 -0.09% 8,737 8,664 8,591 8,519

Africa Price Day Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19
NSE-All Share 30,879 141.68 0.46% 30,879 30,494 30,112 29,734
FTSE/JSE TOP 40 47,742 210.17 -0.44% 44,928 44,281 43,644 43,015
JALSH-All Share 53,915 163.22 -0.30% 50,798 50,067 49,345 48,634
Egypt EGX 30 13,507 32.10 0.24% 13,002 12,802 12,605 12,411
Casablanca CFG 25 11,285 39.13 0.35% 11,290 11,217 11,144 11,072
Nairobi 20 2,871 6.98 0.24% 2,812 2,790 2,769 2,748
NSE All Share 145 0.40 -0.27% 139 138 137 136
DSEI 2,007 2.57 -0.13% 1,975 1,952 1,930 1,908
TUN 7,229 23.45 -0.32% 7,147 7,091 7,036 6,981
GGSECI 2,436 47.19 -1.90% 2,472 2,448 2,424 2,400
NSX Overall 1,333 9.66 0.73% 1,285 1,262 1,240 1,218
SEMDEX 2,231 7.18 0.32% 2,211 2,203 2,195 2,188
Gaborone 7,879 1.94 -0.02% 7,819 7,786 7,754 7,721
Zimbabwe Industrial Index 537.21 12.45 2.37% 472.32 457.95 444.02 430.53